The Tribulation begins when the Antichrist signs a peace treaty with Israel, guaranteeing its security (Dan. 9:27). Nearly all Bible prophecy centers on Israel, including the prophecies dealing with the Tribulation.
Today the Middle East is a primary focus in international affairs.Bible scholars view the reestablishment of the nation of Israel as the most important sign of the end times, because so much of Bible prophecy centers on Israel.
More on the start of the Tribulation, excerpt from my book The Seat of the Antichrist: Bible Prophecy and the European Union

One-third of the Bible’s message is prophetic. History records the fulfillment of all
prophecies except those pertaining to the Tribulation. The “Great Tribulation”
occurs within a seven-year time frame (Dan. 9:25-27). It culminates at the battle
of Armageddon, in which the world’s armies fight at Jerusalem. Daniel 8:23 confirms that the Tribulation
begins when society degenerates to such a great degree that God judges the
earth. God’s purpose in so doing is to end sin, fulfill
prophecy, and create a new world ruled by Christ. The book of Daniel announces
70 weeks of specific prophetic events. A
Biblical week equals seven secular years. Seventy Biblical weeks total 490 years, which
encompass three decrees affecting Jerusalem.
Two of these have already happened: from the edict to rebuild Jerusalem
under Cyrus, down to the cutting off of the Messiah, was 483 years. The remaining seven years await fulfillment
(Dan. 9:24).
During Jesus’s
ministry, people questioned him about the end of the world. Christ exhorted
believers to “watch” for the signs of the times (Mark 13:37). Jesus compared
the events leading to His second coming to the labor pains of childbirth (Matt.
24:8, Mark 13:8). These occur closer together, increasing in severity, until
the moment of birth. Events on the
international scene, and the escalating rates of violence and natural
disasters, happen today at an ever-quickening pace. Hurricanes, tornadoes, and earthquakes break
records in their frequency, and strike localities once untouched by the forces
of nature.
In 1989, the Berlin Wall
collapsed, marking the end of the Cold War and the beginning of the New World
Order and this has now been replaced by the Age of Empires.
The rise of Islamic fundamentalism and the Middle East conflict
presented the superpowers with a new focus.
In the same period, major American cities experienced in one year’s time
a doubling of their murder rates. City
streets turned into battlefields.
Worldwide crime statistics mounted.
National and ethnic conflicts took place in so many nations that civil
wars and border disputes became a trend in the Empire age. Today’s events
occur just as the Scriptures predicted several thousand years ago, whether we
look to the international or social scene.
Christ, commenting
on the end times, foretold in Matthew 24:12: “lawlessness will abound.” In two of the Gospels, He compares the
days before His coming to the era of Noah and Lot (Matt. 24:37, Luke 17:26). As in the days of Noah, violence becomes an
epidemic (Gen. 6:11-12). Wickedness permeates society, and yet people live life
as usual. This describes our generation.
With prisons filled to capacity, city streets likened to battle grounds, and
killings occurring at a record pace, violence has become a social crisis. As a result of the crimes committed by
teenagers and grade school children, inner city schools conduct “bullet
drills,” use metal detectors to scan for weapons, and hire armed security
guards. The Economist commented that “It is not condoms that
they should be
giving out in New York City schools; it is bullet proof vests.”William F. Buckley remarked that the largest standing army in the
world is likely to be New York City school children.”Children kill their parents, murder each other, and are basically out of
control.
In civil wars, the
acts committed on civilian populations by militants surpass the realm of
brutality and are nothing short of savage.
This last century has recorded more mass murder than any other time in
history. This does not even include
abortions, which, when totaled worldwide in the last two decades, exceed the
present U.S. population in number.Yet, violence and lawlessness are only part of the social picture described by
Christ in the last days that will lead up to the start of the Tribulation.
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